2027Updated 11 Oct 2026, 12:54 PM WAT

Nigeria decides, 2027

To the Presidential & National Assembly vote · 16 Jan 2027

44% chance Bola Tinubu (APC)
wins in the first round

Who will INEC declare winner of the 16 January 2027 presidential first round?

Trade

₦0 vol · closes 15 Jan 2027

Presidential24 Senate33 House of Reps29 Governorship42 State Assembly22

State Assembly races 22 markets

Presidential24 Senate33 House of Reps29 Governorship42 State Assembly22

How many of the 24 Enugu Assembly seats will the APC win in February 2027?Enugu35%18 to 23₦0
How many of the 26 Osun Assembly seats will Adeleke's Accord win in 2027?Osun33%18 to 22₦0
How many of the 32 Rivers Assembly seats will the APC win in February 2027?Rivers35%28 to 31₦0
How many of the 27 Imo Assembly seats will the APC win in February 2027?Imo40%23 to 26₦0
Which party will win the most seats in the Adamawa State House of Assembly in 2027?Adamawa42% APCAPC₦0
How many of the 24 Taraba Assembly seats will the APC win in February 2027?Taraba40%18 to 23₦0
How many of the 24 Bayelsa Assembly seats will the APC win in February 2027?Bayelsa43%19 to 23₦0
In how many of the 36 State Houses of Assembly will the APC win a majority?Nationwide35%Too close to call₦0
How many of the 26 Akwa Ibom Assembly seats will the APC win in February 2027?Akwa Ibom40%22 to 25₦0
Which party will win the most seats in the Anambra State House of Assembly in 2027?Anambra40% APGAAPGA₦0
How many of the 40 Lagos Assembly seats will the APC win in February 2027?Lagos45%37 to 39₦0
How many of the 24 Gombe Assembly seats will the APC win in February 2027?Gombe40%20 to 23₦0
Which party will win the most seats in the Bauchi State House of Assembly in 2027?Bauchi48% APCAPC₦0
How many of the 29 Delta Assembly seats will the APC win in February 2027?Delta38%24 to 28₦0
Which party will win a majority (21 of 40 seats) in the Kano State House of Assembly in 2027?Kano52% APCAPC₦0
Which party will win the most seats in the Plateau State House of Assembly in 2027?Plateau46% APCAPC₦0
In how many of the five South-East State Assemblies will the NDC win the most seats?Nationwide46%None₦0
Which party will win the most seats in the Oyo State House of Assembly in 2027?Oyo42% APMAPM₦0
Which party will win the most seats in the Kaduna State House of Assembly in 2027?Kaduna55% APCAPC₦0
Which party will win the most seats in the Abia State House of Assembly in 2027?Abia52% LPLP₦0
Which party will win the most seats in the Benue State House of Assembly in 2027?Benue68% APCAPC₦0
Which party will win the most seats in the Edo State House of Assembly in 2027?Edo66% APCAPC₦0

44% chance Bola Tinubu (APC)wins in the first round

State Assembly races 22 markets

44% chance Bola Tinubu (APC)
wins in the first round