
50% or more
12% chance
₦0 Vol.
₦0 tradedOne share pays ₦1 if 50% or more wins
Bola Tinubu's first-round votes divided by total valid votes nationally, truncated to two decimal places; a share exactly on a band edge falls in the higher band. Void if he is not on the ballot. Uses INEC's declared first-round result for the 16 January 2027 presidential election (state results, Form EC8D; national return, Form EC8E). Later tribunal or court judgments and any runoff are ignored. A postponed poll follows the rescheduled first round; void if INEC has published no result by 30 June 2027.
- Volume
- ₦0
- Scheduled close
- 15 Jan 2027, 11:59 PM
- Market opened
- 4 Oct 2026
Resolution sourceINEC: the returning officer's declaration and the published result sheets (inecnigeria.org)

What share of the national presidential vote will Tinubu win on 16 January 2027?50% or more
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