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Which party will win the most seats in the Bauchi State House of Assembly in 2027?

APM

40% chance
₦0 Vol.
₦0 tradedOne share pays ₦1 if APM wins

Counts the 31 Bauchi State House of Assembly seats by party at the 6 February 2027 election, from INEC returning officers' declarations; a seat counts for the party on whose ticket INEC declared the winner. Supplementary or rerun polls that INEC orders on its own authority and concludes by 31 March 2027 count (the cut-off moves later by any general postponement); tribunal- or court-ordered reruns, later judgments and defections are ignored, and a seat undeclared at the cut-off counts for no party. Resolves to the party with strictly the most declared seats; a tie for the most resolves 'Another party, or a tie'. Void if the election has not been held by 30 June 2027.

Volume
₦0
Scheduled close
5 Feb 2027, 11:59 PM
Market opened
4 Oct 2026
Resolution sourceINEC: the returning officer's declaration and the published result sheets (inecnigeria.org)

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