VectaMarkets
How many of the 360 House of Reps seats will the APC win in January 2027?

280 or more

22% chance
₦0 Vol.
₦0 tradedOne share pays ₦1 if 280 or more wins

Counts the 360 House of Representatives seats won by APC candidates at the 16 January 2027 election, from INEC returning officers' declarations; a seat counts for the party on whose ticket INEC declared the winner. Supplementary or rerun polls that INEC orders on its own authority and concludes by 31 March 2027 count (the cut-off moves later by any general postponement); tribunal- or court-ordered reruns, later judgments and defections are ignored, and a seat undeclared at the cut-off counts for no party. 240 seats is a two-thirds majority. Void if the election has not been held by 30 June 2027.

Volume
₦0
Scheduled close
15 Jan 2027, 11:59 PM
Market opened
4 Oct 2026
Resolution sourceINEC: the returning officer's declaration and the published result sheets (inecnigeria.org)

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