10 to under 20 points

The winning margin is the first-placed candidate's valid votes minus the runner-up's, divided by total valid votes, in percentage points, from INEC's declared Kano State governorship result (Form EC8D) for the 6 February 2027 election, including supplementary or rerun polls INEC orders on its own authority; any s.179 second election, tribunal- or court-ordered reruns and later judgments are ignored. Not rounded; each band includes its lower bound. Void if INEC has declared no result by 30 June 2027.